Explained: How India Can Still Face Elimination from Super 8 Stage in T20 World Cup 2024

A convincing 50-run win over Bangladesh boosted India's chances of qualification for the T20 World Cup semi-final. Rohit Sharma and Co. are unbeaten in the tournament so far.

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Jerin K Tomy
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Rohit Sharma and Mitchell Marsh (Source: X)

Rohit Sharma and Mitchell Marsh (Source: X)

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England became the first team to book a semi-final berth in the 2024 T20 World Cup, with South Africa joining them from Group 2 with a thrilling last-over win against the West Indies on Monday (June 24). Two more spots are up for grabs and India, Australia and Afghanistan are in the race.

India are just one step away from reaching the semi-finals. A convincing 50-run win over Bangladesh in the previous match cemented their chances of qualification. Rohit Sharma and Co. are unbeaten in the tournament so far and will aim to continue their streak when they take on Australia in their final Super 8 match at the Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium in Gros Islet, St Lucia on Monday.

Also Read: Fans react as India continue winning streak in T20 WC 2024, beat Bangladesh by 50 runs

T20 World Cup 2024: Super 8 Group 1 Points Table

Teams Matches Won Lost Tied  No Result  Points  NRR
India 2 2 0 0 0 4 +2.425   
Australia 2 1 1 0 0 2 +0.223
Afghanistan 2 1 1 0 0 2 -0.650 
Bangladesh 2 0 2 0 0 0 2.489

India currently tops the Group 1 points table with 4 points and a healthy Net Run Rate (NRR) of +2.425 following impressive wins against Afghanistan and Bangladesh. Australia are positioned one place behind India with 2 points and an NRR of +0.223. Their semi-final qualification suffered a massive setback after losing to Afghanistan by 21 runs.

Afghanistan are in the third position with 2 points and a poor NRR of -0.650. They lost to India in the first match but bounced back with a historic win over Australia to keep themselves alive in the race. Meanwhile, Bangladesh are at the bottom with two straight defeats. Although they are not officially eliminated, they are on the brink.

What is India’s qualification scenario?

India's equation for semi-final qualification is simple. They just need to win the last match against Australia without thinking about NRR. A win will take them to six points and finish the Super 8 stage as table toppers. Even if the match gets washed out, the Men in Blue will finish at the top with 5 points as the rest of the group members can only maximum attain 4 points.

Also Read: 'There’s no better team to...' - Mitchell Marsh's big statement ahead of must-win clash against India following defeat against Afghanistan

How India will get eliminated from the Super 8 Stage of T20 World Cup? 

Despite the situation being simple and firmly sitting on the top of the table, India can still get eliminated without playing in the semi-finals. Although the odds are low, it is still possible. The safest option for India is to win the last game or get one point if the game is a washout. 

If Australia beat India, and Afghanistan defeat Bangladesh in their final Super 8 match, all three teams will end up with four points. In that case, the qualification will be determined based on the net run rate. If Australia and Afghanistan win their upcoming match by a huge margin, India will have to pack their bags.

India can be eliminated:

- If the combined margin of Australia and Afghanistan's win will be more than 123 runs.

- If Australia beat India by 41 runs and Afghanistan beat Bangladesh by 81 runs.

India T20 World Cup Australia